| ITEM 1A. | RISK FACTORS |
In addition to the factors discussed elsewhere in this Report,
the following risks and uncertainties could materially adversely
affect our business, financial condition and results of
operations. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently
known to us or that we currently deem immaterial also may impair
our business operations and financial condition.
Our performance is affected by general economic and political
conditions and taxation policies.
Our results in the past have been, and in the future may
continue to be, materially affected by changes in general
economic and political conditions in the United States and other
countries, including the interest rate environment in which we
conduct business, the financial markets through which we access
capital and currency, political unrest and terrorist acts in the
United States or other countries in which we carry on business.
The enactment of or increases in tariffs, including value added
tax, or other changes in the application of existing taxes, in
markets in which we are currently active or may be active in the
future, or on specific products that we sell or with which our
products compete, may have an adverse effect on our business or
on our results of operations.
We operate in the highly competitive food industry.
We face competition across our product lines, including
ready-to-eat cereals and convenience foods, from other companies
which have varying abilities to withstand changes in market
conditions. Some of our competitors have substantial financial,
marketing and other resources, and competition with them in our
various markets and product lines could cause us to reduce
prices, increase capital, marketing or other expenditures, or
lose category share, any of which could have a material adverse
effect on our business and financial results. Category share and
growth could also be adversely impacted if we are not successful
in introducing new products.
Our consolidated financial results and demand for our
products are dependent on the successful development of new
products and processes.
There are a number of trends in consumer preferences which may
impact us and the industry as a whole. These include changing
consumer dietary trends and the availability of substitute
products.
Our success is dependent on anticipating changes in consumer
preferences and on successful new product and process
development and product relaunches in response to such changes.
We aim to introduce products or new or improved production
processes on a timely basis in order to counteract obsolescence
and decreases in sales of existing products. While we devote
significant focus to the development of new products and to the
research, development and technology process functions of our
business, we may not be successful in developing new products or
our
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new products may not be commercially successful. Our future
results and our ability to maintain or improve our competitive
position will depend on our capacity to gauge the direction of
our key markets and upon our ability to successfully identify,
develop, manufacture, market and sell new or improved products
in these changing markets.
An impairment in the carrying value of goodwill or other
acquired intangibles could negatively affect our consolidated
operating results and net worth.
The carrying value of goodwill represents the fair value of
acquired businesses in excess of identifiable assets and
liabilities as of the acquisition date. The carrying value of
other intangibles represents the fair value of trademarks, trade
names, and other acquired intangibles as of the acquisition
date. Goodwill and other acquired intangibles expected to
contribute indefinitely to our cash flows are not amortized, but
must be evaluated by management at least annually for
impairment. If carrying value exceeds current fair value, the
intangible is considered impaired and is reduced to fair value
via a charge to earnings. Events and conditions which could
result in an impairment include changes in the industries in
which we operate, including competition and advances in
technology; a significant product liability or intellectual
property claim; or other factors leading to reduction in
expected sales or profitability. Should the value of one or more
of the acquired intangibles become impaired, our consolidated
earnings and net worth may be materially adversely affected.
As of December 29, 2007, the carrying value of intangible
assets totaled approximately $4.97 billion, of which
$3.52 billion was goodwill and $1.45 billion
represented trademarks, tradenames, and other acquired
intangibles compared to total assets of $11.4 billion and
shareholders equity of $2.53 billion.
We may not achieve our targeted cost savings from cost
reduction initiatives.
Our success depends in part on our ability to be an efficient
producer in a highly competitive industry. We have invested a
significant amount in capital expenditures to improve our
operational facilities. Ongoing operational issues are likely to
occur when carrying out major production, procurement, or
logistical changes and these, as well as any failure by us to
achieve our planned cost savings, could have a material adverse
effect on our business and consolidated financial position and
on the consolidated results of our operations and profitability.
We have a substantial amount of indebtedness.
We have indebtedness that is substantial in relation to our
shareholders equity. As of December 29, 2007, we had
total debt of approximately $5.23 billion and
shareholders equity of $2.53 billion.
Our substantial indebtedness could have important consequences,
including:
| | impairing the ability to obtain additional financing for working capital, capital expenditure or general corporate purposes, particularly if the ratings assigned to our debt securities by rating organizations were revised downward; |
| | restricting our flexibility in responding to changing market conditions or making us more vulnerable in the event of a general downturn in economic conditions or our business; |
| | requiring a substantial portion of the cash flow from operations to be dedicated to the payment of principal and interest on our debt, reducing the funds available to us for other purposes such as expansion through acquisitions, marketing spending and expansion of our product offerings; and |
| | causing us to be more leveraged than some of our competitors, which may place us at a competitive disadvantage. |
Our ability to make scheduled payments or to refinance our
obligations with respect to indebtedness will depend on our
financial and operating performance, which in turn, is subject
to prevailing economic conditions, the availability of, and
interest rates on, short-term financing, and to financial,
business and other factors beyond our control.
Our results may be materially and adversely impacted as a
result of increases in the price of raw materials, including
agricultural commodities, fuel and labor.
Agricultural commodities, including corn, wheat, soybean oil,
sugar and cocoa, are the principal raw materials used in our
products. Cartonboard, corrugated, and plastic are the principal
packaging materials used by us. The cost of such commodities may
fluctuate widely due to government policy and regulation,
weather conditions, or other unforeseen circumstances. To the
extent that any of the foregoing factors affect the prices of
such commodities and we are unable to increase our prices or
adequately hedge against such changes in prices in a manner that
offsets such changes, the results of our operations could be
materially and adversely affected.
Cereal processing ovens at major domestic and international
facilities are regularly fuelled by natural gas or propane,
which are obtained from local utilities or other local
suppliers. Short-term stand-by propane storage exists at several
plants for use in case of interruption in natural gas supplies.
Oil may also be used to fuel certain operations at various
plants. In
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addition, considerable amounts of diesel fuel are used in
connection with the distribution of our products. The cost of
fuel may fluctuate widely due to economic and political
conditions, government policy and regulation, war, or other
unforeseen circumstances which could have a material adverse
effect on our consolidated operating results or financial
condition.
A shortage in the labor pool or other general inflationary
pressures or changes in applicable laws and regulations could
increase labor cost, which could have a material adverse effect
on our consolidated operating results or financial conditions.
Additionally, our labor costs include the cost of providing
benefits for employees. We sponsor a number of defined benefit
plans for employees in the United States and various foreign
locations, including pension, retiree health and welfare, active
health care, severance and other postemployment benefits. We
also participate in a number of multiemployer pension plans for
certain of our manufacturing locations. Our major pension plans
and U.S. retiree health and welfare plans are funded with
trust assets invested in a globally diversified portfolio of
equity securities with smaller holdings of bonds, real estate
and other investments. The annual cost of benefits can vary
significantly from year to year and is materially affected by
such factors as changes in the assumed or actual rate of return
on major plan assets, a change in the weighted-average discount
rate used to measure obligations, the rate or trend of health
care cost inflation, and the outcome of collectively-bargained
wage and benefit agreements.
We may be unable to maintain our profit margins in the face
of a consolidating retail environment. In addition, the loss of
one of our largest customers could negatively impact our sales
and profits.
Our largest customer, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and its affiliates,
accounted for approximately 19% of consolidated net sales during
2007, comprised principally of sales within the United States.
At December 29, 2007, approximately 13% of our consolidated
receivables balance and 21% of our U.S. receivables balance
was comprised of amounts owed by Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. and its
affiliates. During 2007, our top five customers, collectively,
accounted for approximately 32% of our consolidated net sales
and approximately 40% of U.S. net sales. As the retail
grocery trade continues to consolidate and mass marketers become
larger, our large retail customers may seek to use their
position to improve their profitability through improved
efficiency, lower pricing and increased promotional programs. If
we are unable to use our scale, marketing expertise, product
innovation and category leadership positions to respond, our
profitability or volume growth could be negatively affected. The
loss of any large customer for an extended length of time could
negatively impact our sales and profits.
Our intellectual property rights are valuable, and any
inability to protect them could reduce the value of our products
and brands.
We consider our intellectual property rights, including
particularly and most notably our trademarks, but also including
patents, trade secrets, copyrights and licensing agreements, to
be a significant and valuable aspect of our business. We attempt
to protect our intellectual property rights through a
combination of patent, trademark, copyright and trade secret
laws, as well as licensing agreements, third party nondisclosure
and assignment agreements and policing of third party misuses of
our intellectual property. Our failure to obtain or adequately
protect our trademarks, products, new features of our products,
or our technology, or any change in law or other changes that
serve to lessen or remove the current legal protections of our
intellectual property, may diminish our competitiveness and
could materially harm our business.
We may be unaware of intellectual property rights of others that
may cover some of our technology, brands or products. Any
litigation regarding patents or other intellectual property
could be costly and time-consuming and could divert the
attention of our management and key personnel from our business
operations. Third party claims of intellectual property
infringement might also require us to enter into costly license
agreements. We also may be subject to significant damages or
injunctions against development and sale of certain products.
Changes in tax, environmental or other regulations or failure
to comply with existing licensing, trade and other regulations
and laws could have a material adverse effect on our
consolidated financial condition.
Our activities, both in and outside of the United States, are
subject to regulation by various federal, state, provincial and
local laws, regulations and government agencies, including the
U.S. Food and Drug Administration, U.S. Federal Trade
Commission, the U.S. Departments of Agriculture, Commerce
and Labor, as well as similar and other authorities of the
European Union and various state, provincial and local
governments, as well as voluntary regulation by other bodies.
Various state and local agencies also regulate our activities.
The manufacturing, marketing and distribution of food products
are subject to governmental regulation that is becoming
increasingly onerous. Those regulations control such matters as
ingredients, advertising, relations with distributors and
retailers, health and safety and the environment. We are also
regulated with respect to matters such as licensing
requirements,
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trade and pricing practices, tax and environmental matters. The
need to comply with new or revised tax, environmental or other
laws or regulations, or new or changed interpretations or
enforcement of existing laws or regulations, may have a material
adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
Our operations face significant foreign currency exchange
rate exposure which could negatively impact our operating
results.
We hold assets and incur liabilities, earn revenue and pay
expenses in a variety of currencies other than the
U.S. dollar, primarily the British Pound, Euro, Australian
dollar, Canadian dollar and Mexican peso. Because our
consolidated financial statements are presented in
U.S. dollars, we must translate our assets, liabilities,
revenue and expenses into U.S. dollars at then-applicable
exchange rates. Consequently, increases and decreases in the
value of the U.S. dollar may negatively affect the value of
these items in our consolidated financial statements, even if
their value has not changed in their original currency. To the
extent we fail to manage our foreign currency exposure
adequately, our consolidated results of operations may be
negatively affected.
If our food products become adulterated or misbranded, we
might need to recall those items and may experience product
liability if consumers are injured as a result.
We may need to recall some of our products if they become
adulterated or misbranded. We may also be liable if the
consumption of any of our products causes injury. A widespread
product recall could result in significant losses due to the
costs of a recall, the destruction of product inventory, and
lost sales due to the unavailability of product for a period of
time. We could also suffer losses from a significant product
liability judgment against us. A significant product recall or
product liability case could also result in a loss of consumer
confidence in our food products, which could have a material
adverse effect on our business results and the value of our
brands.
Technology failures could disrupt our operations and
negatively impact our business.
We increasingly rely on information technology systems to
process, transmit, and store electronic information. For
example, our production and distribution facilities and
inventory management utilize information technology to increase
efficiencies and limit costs. Furthermore, a significant portion
of the communications between our personnel, customers, and
suppliers depends on information technology. Like other
companies, our information technology systems may be vulnerable
to a variety of interruptions due to events beyond our control,
including, but not limited to, natural disasters, terrorist
attacks, telecommunications failures, computer viruses, hackers,
and other security issues. We have technology security
initiatives and disaster recovery plans in place or in process
to mitigate our risk to these vulnerabilities, but these
measures may not be adequate.
| ITEM 1B. | UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS |
None.
